One of the most practised sports worldwide is football, and that is why there are many teams and a great variety of Leagues are played, such as Premier League (England), Brasileirao Serie A (Brazil), La Liga (Spain), Serie A (Italy), Ligue 1 (France), Bundesliga (Germany), among others and many people take great entertainment in making sports predictions. Some have even forged careers from the success of their predictions.
The evolution of football has gone hand in hand with the changes that are taking place in society and currently this sport relies on technology which improves the effectiveness of the game and the player’s resistance. Although saying that, there has been much debate about the introduction of VAR to assist the beautiful game.
As said, it is particularly normal to see people with great knowledge in the sporting arena making predictions on each football game which is to be played, either on their social media accounts, via their websites and even on specialised platforms.
For many obtaining stats and data about the teams playing is crucial because they are passionate about studying the stronger team going into the game based on their form as generally, they are going to place a bet. Betting in sports has existed since the beginning of these games and is almost seen as a part of the matchday ritual for some.
In order to make well-informed sports predictions, there are a series of aspects that many eager gamblers take into account, such as:
Analysing the betting odds
Betting odds allow you to read the probabilities provided by the bookmaker for that game. This value is not always reliable since bookmakers use odds they are comfortable with as a strategy, and of course, they are a business so look to make the most profit per each sporting event.
Look at the current ranking by team
Knowing the position of the teams that are going to face each other is also relatively important since it will allow you to determine who has been the stronger side across the season or competition. However, this recommendation is not totally accurate, because the champions of the Spanish League, for instance, may lose to a team that is struggling to stay in the first division.
As a Newcastle fan I’ve seen this many times before, when they get beaten or hold a 0-0 draw to a team facing relegation yet can beat teams top of the League no problem.
Know the current situation of the teams that are going to play
To determine how each team has been playing, it is necessary to collect some statistical data or historical records related to the games won, lost or drawn. By being aware of this data, it is possible to make a decent comparison for your sports predictions as to which team has been the better performers at the current moment.
Sports Predictions via the Bayesian Approach
This is a really simple method that measures the behaviour of the probabilities in bets, which is similar to the odds analysis. How does it work? It’s pretty simple, odds are searched against the different bookmakers, that odds are combined with the historical records of the game, and from that comparison, the football team to bet on is defined.
So, if the Spanish League classic between Real Madrid and Barcelona F.C. is about to be played, it is important to take into account all of the above, only then you can make the prediction of who you think will be the winner of that match and choose the team that you are going to bet on.
Have you got any other tips for choosing your football bets? I’d love to know in the comments section below. As always if this article has been of some value to you I’d love you to share it with your friends and family and across social media.